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TJX
Is Out Of The Basement But Still A Bargain
Devotees shop at the TJX Companies, Inc. (NYSE: TJX) stores for the thrill of finding department and specialty-store labels at 20-60% off. Although the company’s stock price has since climbed after hitting bargain-basement lows last year, it still trades below the 20x earnings of many of its big-box retail peers. We suggest you think like a TJX shopper and recognize a good deal when you see one.
The Framingham,
MA-based company is emerging as a true category killer, commanding a 50%
share of the off-price retail market. With 1,493 total stores, it towers
over its closest competitor, the 411-unit Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST). TJX's
combined volume gives it considerable clout with vendors. In addition, the
company boasts an experienced management team that knows the off-price business
inside and out.
TJX's divisions include: its core Marmaxx division (T.J. Maxx and Marshalls);
HomeGoods, an off-price home fashions chain; and A.J. Wright, its newest
vehicle that targets a lower-income customer. TJX also operates Winners
in Canada and T.K. Maxx in the United Kingdom and Ireland, both of which
are patterned after Marmaxx. This year the company plans to expand its
HomeGoods concept with the debut of seven HomeSense stores in Canada.
TJX is thereby putting its eggs into various merchandising, socioeconomic
and geographic baskets without straying from its off-price roots. Consumers
in Canada and the United Kingdom are embracing value retailers in general,
and Winners and T.K. Maxx have posted higher comps than Marmaxx for the
past two years.
This year TJX plans to increase its store base by 12%, with the largest
growth rates in its HomeGoods, T.K. Maxx and A.J. Wright divisions, and
sees the potential to eventually reach a total unit count of 4,000.
Management has such faith in the company that they have repurchased
$750 million of common stock and plan to buy back another $1 billion over
the next few years.
So far, so goodso what gives?
In addition to new store expenditures, TJX is investing heavily in its
distribution network in order to keep growing pains and freight costs
at bay, and is unlikely to see ROI or significantly boost shareholder
value this year.
The validity of off-price retailing has also come under some scrutiny,
as department stores have become more promotional and mass merchants have
improved their softgoods assortments.
But there are customers who prefer labels like Ralph Lauren and Calvin
Klein over Kathies Ireland and Lee Gifford and who don't want to fit department
stores' sales dates into their schedules.
Due to TJXs size, any hits at the off-price sector are likely
to be sustained by the smaller players. TJX could also gain market share
as department and specialty stores go under or close unprofitable units.
TJX may not be this years hottest retail stock but one you take
out of your closet in a few years and find is really in style.
Retail Intelligence Group, 2001 Copyright© all text 2004 by Ela Schwartz |